21st Regular Session of the Scientific Committee

Agenda Item 5.3 Southwest Pacific striped marlin – management projections

WCPFC21 requested that the SSP prepare for SC21 a tractable set of projections from the next South Pacific Striped Marlin stock assessment that represent the following scenarios (paras 242 and 254, SC20 Summary Report; para 207, WCPFC21 Summary Report): 

  1. Status quo scenario: Projection based on recent catch levels; 

  2. Recovery scenario 1: Projection using catch levels that result to a median depletion of 20% by 2034; 

  3. Recovery scenario 2: Projection using catch levels that result to a median depletion of 30% by 2034; 

  4. Recovery scenario 3: Projection using catch levels that result in a median depletion equal to SBMSY by 2034; and 

  5. Non-retention/live release scenario: Projection using catch levels that reflect the likely outcomes under a management measure requiring release of live animals or non-retention of all animals.